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Code · Zenodo · August 14, 2026

From Forecast Uncertainty to Economic Value: Stochastic and Robust MILP for Demand-Side Energy Management

Akylbek Tokhmetov, Saule ZHUMAGULOVA, Liliya Tanchenko, Danel Musina

Abstract

Training Randomness in Architecture Ablations — v1.0.0 Reproducibility package accompanying the manuscript: Training Randomness in Architecture Ablations: A Crossed Seed–Window Analysis with Preregistered Replication Contents crossed seed–window analysis materials; REML and modified Hartung–Knapp meta-analysis; dataset-clustered sensitivity analysis; simulation-based power and coverage analysis; preregistered ECL replication materials; OpenML-CC18 feature-identity ablation on 17 classification tasks; 17 per-task CC18 prediction artifacts; configurations, manifests, checksums, and compact derived result tables; manuscript and Supplement. OpenML-CC18 analysis The non-energy benchmark evaluates a feature-identity ablation in a compact FT-Transformer. Balanced error is the primary metric, with cross-entropy as a secondary sensitivity metric. Dataset-level effects are pooled using REML with modified Hartung–Knapp inference. Reproducibility The CC18 pipeline begins with: src/cc18/00_preflight_check.py and continues through dataset selection, model training, per-dataset analysis, sparsity diagnostics, and REML–Hartung–Knapp pooling. The 17 per-task NPZ files are included in: artifacts/cc18_per_example_artifacts.zip File integrity can be verified using: CHECKSUMS.sha256 Licensing Source code: MIT License. Author-created configurations, manifests, documentation, compact derived results, and generated CC18 artifacts: CC BY 4.0. Source datasets remain subject to their original licenses and terms. The manuscript is not covered by the repository licenses pending the journal publishing agreement.

Smart Grid Energy ManagementElectric Power System OptimizationIntegrated Energy Systems Optimizationneural network architecturecross-entropyreproducibility

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