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Article · Atmosphere · February 25, 2025

Enhancing Geomagnetic Disturbance Predictions with Neural Networks: A Case Study on K-Index Classification

Aizhan Altaibek, Beibit Tenelovich Zhumabayev, Marat Nurtas, Diana Zakir, Vitaliy Kapytin

Abstract

To explore the application of neural networks for estimating geomagnetic field disturbances, this study pays particular attention to K-index classification. The primary goal is to develop a robust and efficient method for classifying different levels of geomagnetic activity using neural networks. Our work encompasses data preprocessing, model architecture optimization, and a thorough evaluation of classification performance. A new neural-network approach is proposed to address the specific complexities of geomagnetic data, and its merits are compared with those of conventional techniques. Notably, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models significantly outperformed traditional methods, achieving up to 98% classification accuracy. These findings demonstrate that neural networks can be effectively applied in geomagnetic studies, supporting AI-based forecasting and enabling further integration into space weather research

Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamicsSolar and Space Plasma DynamicsGeomagnetism and Paleomagnetism Studiesgeomagnetic disturbancesspace weather forecastinglong short-term memory networks

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